So lets look at Absent votes first. [ edit] Primary vote results in Melbourne (Parties that did not get 5% of the vote are omitted) Liberal Labor Australian Democrats Greens Reason Two-candidate-preferred results in Melbourne References [ edit] But Im tipping Burns to hold in a Labor v Greens count. Berth locations and shipping agents' contact details, below. Do automatic recounts apply to 3CP counts? Liberal vote recovered in parts of Caulfield which isnt good news for Labor holding onto Macnamara at the next election. Preferences from fourth & further candidates total 21.8%, but 14% is with right wing groups which favoured Liberals over Labour over Greens strongly in 2019. They are incumbents Joyce Barton and Corey Runte, as well as . Over nearly four decades, the Liberal support in Melbourne has hovered consistently in the 20-30% range, while the Labor and Green percentages have essentially flipped since the turn of the century. Thoughts on who wouldve won this seat based on the state election figures? This will be the last seat to be called I think. Antony Green is the ABC's Chief Elections Analyst. Greens definitely over performed in Prahran. At least the boundary change adding more Greens territory would significantly decrease the ALP v GRN margin. If reelected, I will continue to work closely with our partners to build upon the successes of the past fouryears. The three council members who win in the general election will have a four-year term and will have a salary of$10,320 a year. Bandt increased his primary vote further to 42.6% in 2013, allowing him to overcome the decision of the Liberal Party to reverse past preference recommendations and put Labor ahead of the Greens. This may be due to Melbourne having a sitting Green MP in Adam Bandt, or be related to Labor pulling out of campaigning after disendorsing its candidate. 2019 Federal Election: A Meet the Candidates for the House of Representatives seat of Macnamara, formerly Melbourne Ports, was held on Tuesday, 16th April in the Community Facility at South Melbourne Primary School, 129 Ferrars St, Southbank. Conceding and declaring victory is only a formality. Macnamara has a large Jewish population, and Michael Danby often argued against giving the Greens preferences in Melbourne Ports because of Green support for Palestinian causes. I agree, PN. Theyare elected by citywide vote, serve four-year terms, andrepresentadistrict of the city. And; Will there be enough votes left for the Greens to close the gap on current rates? This article originally appeared on Florida Today: Six candidates are seeking three seats on Melbourne City Council, With increased flooding during Saturday's deluge, Eau Gallie business owners blame Brightline, Daily Bread drops plan to build affordable housing on Malabar Road; alternate locations sought, Sunwing Airlines to launch service from Melbourne to three Canadian cities in December, Melbourne leaders dedicate $32 million police headquarters to force's lone fallen officer, Harry Goode's Outdoor Shop gets new owners, interior rebuild after 76 years in Melbourne, Six candidates are seeking three seats on Melbourne City Council, Chicago Mayor Lightfoot ousted; Vallas, Johnson in runoff, King asks Duke and Duchess of Sussex to move out of Frogmore so Prince Andrew can move in, Biden Mocks Marjorie Taylor Greene With 1 Simple Hand Gesture, A Nebraska high-school cheerleader competed on her own after the rest of her squad quit. The Greens finished a close third in 2007, passing the Liberals on preference transfers to finish second to Labor. The graph of first preference votes below shows rising Green support at the expense of Labor, a pattern repeated in many inner-Melbourne electorates. 2. Under its former name, Melbourne Ports, this electorate had been held by the Labor Party since 1906. After attending Mount Scopus College, Josh graduated from Monash University with a Bachelor of Arts, majoring in Political Studies. Melbourne is already a great place, in my opinion. It covers an area of approximately 40 sq km around the north and north-eastern shores of Port Phillip Bay. The only things saving Josh Burns here today are the cratering Liberal vote and, most importantly of all, the perfect little gerrymander with Higgins. Schultz is an Elwood local and long been a passionate advocate for social and environmental change and is campaigning for change to agricultural practices, for both animal protection and to combat the effects of climate change. William Bowe actually says he thinks its trending Greens. Crean served as Treasurer for the first two years of the Whitlam government, but was pushed aside in late 1974 in the midst of difficult economic times, and moved to the Trade portfolio. Political/government/civic experience: West Melbourne City Council (appointed June 2022); secretary of Space Coast Field of Dreams board; West Melbourne Citizens Leadership Academy; former deputy chair of West Melbourne Parks & Recreation board; former Brevard educator; Transportation & Intergovernmental Relations Policy Committee member; member of the Melbourne, Palm Bay, Titusville and Cocoa Beach chambers of commerce; and LEAD Brevard board member. The retirement of long serving Labor MP Lindsay Tanner in 2010 produced a further switch in first preference support, the Greens finishing 1.9% short of Labor on first preferences and easily winning after being the recipient of 80% of Liberal preferences. Immediately below is the video of the event. At Michael Danby's last election in 2016, the Liberals polled 41.9% on first preferences to Labor 27.0% and the Greens 23.8%. The 2020 City of Melbourne Council elections. Labor will emphatically opposite it. The seven-member City Council will have three contested seats on the November general electionballot: Districts 2, 4 and 6. We acknowledge Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander peoples as the First Australians and Traditional Custodians of the lands where we live, learn, and work. But Melbourne differs from other electorates in two ways. I compared it to the Macnamara electorate results in May not the 2018 state results where a Greens ran. To date, we can boastOrion180 (300 jobs), Northrop Grumman (400 to 600 jobs), and creating less government for our small-business owners. The West Finger Pier is a good vantage point to view the ships. Bandt worked as an industrial and public interest lawyer for the decade before his election to Parliament in 2010. Demographics (2019 boundaries): Median weekly household income: $1,866 (Australia $1,438) People over 65: 12.2% (Australia 15.8%) Australian born: 54.5% (Australia 66.7%) Ancestry: Chinese 5.6% I support the use of all available tools, including fee-based programs that would be paid for by polluters, but could result in significant savings for our citizens, like septic system improvements, odor controland enhanced water testing. [2] The new name was gazetted on 13 July 2018, and was first used at the 2019 federal election. Tree lined, nature strips, large houses, large schools, etc. Inner south of Melbourne. Thats extraordinary, quite possibly the closest 3 way 3CP count ever, and I think a full 3CP recount if its that close is a very likely possibility. The Green margin versus the Liberal Party rises from 21.8% to 22.6%.There were Green two-candidate preferred majorities in all 32 polling places in 2019, its vote rising above 70% in 22 and 80% in 13. Josh Burns came first on primaries and he can thank the collapse in the Liberal vote. 0:03. ), meaning any 2CP combination is still possible. In Macnamara, the Liberal vote is consistently around 40%, and a Green victory hinges on the Greens passing Labor on first preferences, and then strong flows of Labor preferences putting the Green candidate ahead of the Liberal in the final count. So let's figure it out. Should move up to Glen Eira Road regardless of whether that border will be with Macnamara as it currently is, or Higgins. Campaign Email: diana@dianaforcouncil.com, Campaign Facebook page: Facebook.com/DianaForWestMelbourne. Frank Crean was Treasurer in the Whitlam government and is the father of former Labor Leader Simon Crean. Being able to communicate answers to these folks with some type of clarity is where Im passionate. Podcast #86: Introduction to the NSW election, When local council parties break into state politics. The Greens topped the primary vote in St Kilda, with the Liberal Party a distant third. He represented workers and their unions while a partner at Slater and Gordon, holding a position with the firm previously held by Julia Gillard. If that happens, they win. She said the support she got from other teams was 'overwhelming. To put it simply, the AEC 3CP preference throw, which is now complete for all ballots counted so far, currently has Labor 50 votes behind the Liberals and 495 ahead of the Greens in the 3PP race. Unlock unlimited digital access to floridatoday.com Click here and subscribe today. "It must be in a smart, resilient and low-impact manner., Occupation: Small-business owner and nonprofit executive director, Education: Doctorate of public administration (in-progress); master's in educational leadership; bachelor's in elementary education. Elected Councillors were sworn in at a Special Council Meeting held on 11 November 2020. It seems that the Greens overperformed federal results in Prahran and underperformed in Albert Park and Labor vice versa. Melbourne Ports was won in 1906 by Labor candidates James Mathews. She recently resigned from the office of Senator Hon Jane Hume. Labors primary votes in all three of these electorates went backwards which should set Red flags in Labor HQ. This change slightly reduced the Labor margin from 6.2% to 6.1%. Runoff from neighborhoods in the St. Johns watershed should go west, rather than being pumped to the lagoon. Because 500 votes separated the Greens from Labor, and in all seats covering Macnamara, the Greens had an increase in primary votes, 8% in Prahran, 4% in Albert Park, and even 1.1% in Caulfield with a teal running. i do agree that Georgia Drawbridge is a quasi teal and many of her preferences went to Teal. ), Time listed is at Fawkner Beacon- Time between the Heads and Fawkner Beacon - 3 hours- Time between Fawkner Beacon and berth - 1 hour, Time listed is at Point Richards- Time between the Heads and Point Richards - 3 hours- Time between Point Richards and berth - 2 hours, 2016 Victorian Ports Corporation (Melbourne). 3. Stragan is an award-winning accountant, born in Melbourne to Ukrainian parents. Labor's vote fell further in 2016, finishing third behind the Liberal candidate, and stayed in third place at the 2019 election after Labor disendorsed its candidate mid-campaign. Its also worth noting Prahran covers a fair amount of Macnamara residents. Amazing result from Steph Hodgins-May and even if she doesnt win, hopefully it will energize her to try a 4th time. The incumbent, Debbie Thomas, is wrapping up her second consecutive term, and cannot run for reelection because of termlimits. In other seats the change did matter, Liberal preferences preventing Green victories in Batman and Wills. Labor need the remaining votes to actually break stronger for them compared to the Libs than they have, to get in front of them. I've heard lots of folks' concerns to everything ranging from stormwater runoff in the lagoon to age-friendly inclusion in the newly developed downtown areas. Harbour Master's Directions & Port Information Guide, Notices to Mariners & Operational Instructions. First Preference Results 1983-2019
Regional Victorian ports - follow this link . Council members also comprise three of the seven members of the Melbourne Airport Authority, which will overseea proposed $41 million budget next year. Originally, it was anchored in the industrial suburbs in the west of the electorate, which are part of Labor's heartland in west Melbourne. The city of more than 28,000 residents has a $50 million budget, and is set to complete its own water plant in December 2026. Rick Neale is the South Brevard Watchdog Reporter at FLORIDA TODAY (for more of his stories, click here.) Either way this might be the last seat to be called because it wont even be mnown who the two-party count is between until a full distribution of preferences, and all 3 combinations are possible. He grew up in Melbourne's western suburbs delivering newspapers to help his working-class family with a bit of extra income while he gained his accountant's diploma. That the Liberals cant get into first place, because they are actually already on first place in the current 3CP count, AND on top of that, the current rates of absents, prepolls and the last batch of postals all have the Liberals outperforming Labor after minor preferences; 2. Green was also very careful about Brisbane, which shows just how close some of these races have been. The 2020 City of Melbourne Council elections. The city of more than 28,000. The logical approach to me at face value would be to consolidate the 4 Labor seats of Chisholm, Hotham, Isaacs and Bruce into 3, but Im sure they wont want to do that. ALP 30,499 3. It was located to the south of Melbourne's central business district and covered an area of approximately 40km2 around the north and north-eastern shores of Port Phillip Bay. Incumbent Mark LaRusso facesShawn Allred Middleton in the District 2 race. I thought this was Labours until I read ABCs Anthony Greens column in which he said he was going to call it for Labour, until the Labour candidate for Macnamara phoned him and said the Greens could still win it. the Sex party candidate, in the top preference slot, ahead of Steven Armstrong of the Stable Population party and Margaret Quinn of the Rise Up . He is a local President of the Finance Sector Union and is a former President of the 50,000-member Bicycle Network which advocates for more sustainable transport and safer riding. Subscribe today. It will make a massive difference in how the Albanese government is seen. Also disagree with you Dan M. It is completely misleading to analyse the Labor Albert Park Margin and Caulfield Margin considering that Balaclava, St Kilda and other areas are in the Caulfield electorate (fairly progressive electorates). Libs to get Higgins back and Greens to make Macnamara notionally Green. She went on to study education, undergraduate and post graduate studies at Institute of Catholic Education, and then completed a masters degree in education at Monash University. That is what is putting the greens in contention in both seats. Stephen Mayne will be the moderator. The West Finger Pier is a good vantage point to view the ships. Rachael Bassett andAlison Dietrich are competing for the District 4 seat. Council members earn $7,475 annually, plus a $255 monthly travel . The electorate includes the suburbs of Port Melbourne, South Melbourne, Middle Park, South Yarra, St Kilda, Balaclava, Elwood and parts of Elsternwick and Caulfield. Results 1983-2019. Can somebody explain why if the AEC are doing a 3 way count here, why they are not doing one in Richmond which seems (to me) a seat where the Greens could still get up or at least be second. Before being won by Josh Burns in 2019, the electorate had been represented by only five members in 113 years. Tel: +61 3 8347 8300 It is absolutely ridiculous that the ABC and Pollbludger is being conservative on their calls. Eg. Either way, the boost in Labor support at the expense of the Liberal Party in 2019 boosts Josh Burns' prospects of holding Macnamara in 2022 against both his political opponents. This even includes the most recent batches of postal votes where the Greens outperformed Labor by 7% (after minor preferences). Thats four years out, City Clerk Cynthia Hanscom said, adding that consumptive use permits for the well-water plant also have been procured. Hodgins-May is an environmental and social justice advocate, small business owner and St Kilda local. A successful businesswoman, Bernadene has been a resident for 20 years in the electorate of Macnamara. Conservatives doing better on postals isnt always the case in progressive seats. and moved to the safer seat of Melbourne Ports in 1931. . I think the true boundary here is Hotham street which separates Port Phillip from Glen Eira.. Melbourne Ports had been a tight three-way contest in 2016, Labor's Michael Danby staying narrowly ahead of the Greens to eventually win a narrow victory over the Liberals on Green preferences. he video of the event is the second of the three videos below. Since Labor already needs the support of the Greens to pass anything through the Senate, it doesnt make a huge difference in practical terms whether they also need Greens (or Independent) support in the House or have a majority in their own right. Born and raised in Caulfield, Burns is the grandson of Jewish migrants who left Europe and settled in Melbourne in search of a safe place to raise their families. The current 3CP order after about 87,000 votes is 1 Libs, 2 Labor, 3 Greens. Liberal 30.69% 4. From his post 24 hours ago: All of this amounts to bad news for Labor in its quest for 76 seats, with Brisbane now out of the picture and the odds most likely leaning against them in Macnamara, which I for one thought they had in the bag earlier in the week, and which my results system is continuing to call as Labor retain due to its inability to think in three-party terms.. I would argue if they preferenced the cookers last and Michael OBrien was the leader they would have done better here. I find it interesting that the Party and Independents who had stronger positions on tackling climate change gained more seats than Labour, not sure about Dai Le in Fowler, but that was another howler from Labour. The Greens would have got 32% in May but only got 20% of November. This is all bad news for Labor because it means the Greens are rapidly catching them, while the Liberals are pulling away from them. Impact on port:With Port Commissioner Hattaway running for Florida House, . Contact Gallop at 321-917-4641 or jgallop@floridatoday.com. The 2022 Federal Election: A Meet the Candidates was held on 3rd mat at the boyd community Hub. Current 3CP count: 1. As in 2019 the Green candidate will be Steph Hodgins-May, the new Liberal candidate Christopher Ride. Diana Adams appointed to West Melbourne City Council, replacing Daniel Batcheldor, West Melbourne names eight finalists to replace retired police chief Richard Wiley, West Melbourne may hire Tim Rhode as city manager; Daniel Batcheldor to leave City Council, Your California Privacy Rights/Privacy Policy. Dan M, this is a fantastic result for the Greens and after a 1 term Labor government they will be in a great position to flip it next time. Previous Meet the Candidates events include: The 2022 Federal Election: A Meet the Candidates was held on 3rd mat at the boyd community Hub. In early 2022, the Victorian Government asked the Department to convene the Container . Question now is what becomes of the boundaries at the next election. These are the two issues that I plan to be talking about, Young said. Libs and Greens will definitely advocate for the 2021 Macnamara/Higgins proposal again. It is important to maintain our roads before they become a costly problem. But when you distribute the minor preferences, it means Absent votes are actually breaking 31% LIB, 30.2% ALP and 38.8% GRN in 3CP terms. Gettin spicy https://www.aec.gov.au/news/results-3cp.htm. The Liberals are still 3rd on the primary vote, so unless they can improve on absentees,postals,provisionals then they will remain 3rd. The departure of Danby in 2019 saw a boost in Labor vote, though whether this was a coincidence with of consequence of Danby's departure is impossible to say. As a scientist, I will bring critical thinking to our decision-making. I will make sure our first responders have the funding, training and equipment to protect and serve the citizens of Melbourne. Following its extension eastwards to Caulfield and other Liberal-voting areas in the 1990 redistribution, it became much less secure for Labor. The Port of Melbourne's commitments on pricing and consultation responds to the ESC's review of the port's compliance with the official pricing order, under which tariffs can only be increased once a year, and by no more than the consumer price index. Second, other electorates saw a drop in Green support and rise for Labor at the 2019 election where Green support rose further in Melbourne. After the exclusion of several minor party candidates with 7.3% between them, the three-candidate count had become Liberal 43.7%, Labor 28.7% to Greens 27.6%. Flooding concerns: With increased flooding during Saturday's deluge, Eau Gallie business owners blame Brightline, Seeking affordable housing site: Daily Bread drops plan to build affordable housing on Malabar Road; alternate locations sought. Results prior to 2019 were under the electorate's former name of Melbourne Ports.). West Melbourne is building our own water plant, and now were talking about having our own fire stations. Three candidates will be running for two available seats on the Melbourne Beach Town Commission in the Nov. 8 election. He has lived and worked in inner Melbourne for most of his life. I think this is more important then people think. It might be close but hard to see. (My prediction is around 33.5% LIB, 33.3% ALP, 33.2% GRN). Mauger was re-elected in 1903 but in 1906 moved to the new seat of Maribyrnong, which he held until his defeat in 1910. These two factors, along with the unknown that is the ~1000 Covid phone votes, will most likely determine the outcome but either way, the 3CP count is headed for a photo finish with all 3 parties practically guaranteed to be over 33% with only a couple of hundred votes between them. The remaining are all absentee, provisional and Declaration pre polls. Another phenomenal result for the Greens. With the projected population expansion expected to be over 40,000, fire and safety services need to be controlled by the city, not contracted out. Agree, Dan M, also need to note that much of Prahran is also in Macnamara in all 3 seats the Libs overperformed their federal results in May and like what we saw in their elite heartland there was some recovery these seats (taking into account more right-wing minor parties this time like FFV) compared to 2018. Infrastructure needs: Invest in, maintain and improve our infrastructure, while being mindful of residential, economic and environmental impact. The moderator was Bernadene Voss, a two-term Councillor and three-time Mayor in the City of Port Phillip. This is a seat where Labor has usually trailed on first preference votes, relying on Australian Democrat and more recently on Green preferences to come from behind and win. Labor appeared to have picked up primary votes in both Brisbane and Macnamara just the greens picked up more, so not all negative for them Interestingly the preferences for non-green/lib/labor voters in those seats (mainly right-wing UAP,ON, LDP and smaller left-wing AJP) were split around 50% lib, 35% green and 15% alp so assume more UAP/ON/LDP voters preferenced greens over labor. After originally being won by the Protectionist party, it has been held by the ALP consistently since 1906, although it has rarely been held by large margins. Changes at outdoor shop: Harry Goode's Outdoor Shop gets new owners, interior rebuild after 76 years in Melbourne, Occupation:Assistant principal,Brevard Public Schools, Education:Bachelors degree in psychology and elementary education; master's degree in educational leadership, Political/government/civic experience:Elected to Melbourne City Council in November 2018; member of the Space Coast League of Cities board of directors; treasurer of the Space Coast League of Cities; appointed vice mayor in November 2021, Campaign email:reelectjsanders2022@gmail.com, Website, Facebook, other social media pages/links:sanders4mlbcouncil.com; Facebook: Reelect Julie Sanders 2022;Instagram: Juliesanders2873. 40 sq km around the north and north-eastern shores of Port Phillip Bay races have been become a problem... Answers to these folks with some type of clarity is where Im passionate FLORIDA,. Distant third here and subscribe today, Click here and subscribe today good news for Labor includes most! 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